Today, we face an analogous wager about the arrival of immensely capable artificial intelligence, but with a crucial difference—the evidence for AI’s transformative impact is mounting daily, and the timeline in which it may occur isn’t eternity but the next handful of years.
The wager is this: Either AI will radically transform work, education, corporations, and society within a short interval of time, or it won’t.
If we prepare for change and it doesn’t materialize, we’ve likely invested in digital literacy, rethought ossified institutions, and considered options for how to distribute income other than through wages.
These are hardly catastrophic losses. But if we fail to prepare and transformation arrives quickly, we risk mass unemployment, obsolete educational institutions, and widespread social disruption.
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